the Business Forum and
the Economic Partnership
in Brighton & Hove
Homepage    BCRP Intranet    Funding    Events    Partners     Knowledgebase    Links    About us     Contact us
Key projects
Crime
reduction
 

Workforce development 

Transport
 

Business &
climate
change

Property &
Development sites

Business
Improvement
Districts

Housing
 

Strategy
 

Consultation opportunities
 

Shopping & Eating Out Guide
 

Brighton & Hove Business Forum
8-11 Pavilion Buildings, Brighton, BN1 1EE
Tel: 01273 735442
Email: info@brighton
business.co.uk

© Brighton & Hove
Business Forum

News - 15 July 2008

Inflation continues to rise

Inflation hit a new record of 3.8% last month as food and petrol prices rocketed, raising fears that inflation is surging towards 5% or even higher

The Office for National Statistics (ONS) said June's annual inflation rate was the highest since the consumer prices index was set up in January 1997, up from 3.3% in May. The rate is nearly double the Bank of England's inflation target of 2%.

The jump in inflation surprised economists, who had expected it to reach 3.6%, and warned that the cost of living will head sharply higher in the next few months - increasing the pressure on the Bank of England to raise interest rates. Bank governor Mervyn King has already cautioned that record oil prices are likely to push inflation above 4% .

"CPI inflation is heading for 5% plus late this year," said Michael Saunders at Citibank and Alan Clarke of BNP Paribas said that as inflation keeps scaling new peaks, "before too long we are going to be talking about inflation with a 6% handle".

Both food and transport inflation surged to the highest levels since 1997. The cost of food and soft drinks rose 9.5% from a year ago while transport prices were up by 7.3%. Meat prices, in particular beef, rose by more than last year. Fruit, bread and cereals, as well as milk, cheese and eggs, are also dearer. Soaring fuel prices pushed transport costs higher with the average price of petrol increasing by 5.3p a litre between May and June to reach 117.6p. Diesel prices rose by 7.1p a litre.

The figures will add to concerns at the Bank of England, which faces a delicate balancing act. In the Bank's annual report published yesterday, King cautioned that the MPC "can have little impact on the path of inflation in the short term". He said the committee had "not attempted to prevent inflation moving away from the target" for fear of causing wider damage to the economy.

The retail prices index (RPI), the measure usually used in wage negotiations (which unlike the CPI includes housing costs), climbed to an annual rate of 4.6% in June from 4.3% in May.

ING economist James Knightley said: "Today's inflation figure may boost talk of a potential rate hike, but the comments from Bank of England officials over the past 48 hours - when presumably they had the data - hinted that there was little appetite for such a move. Indeed, King and [MPC member Kate] Barker were arguing that they have to be careful that the economy doesn't slow too quickly, driving inflation down below target in two years' time."

The financial markets are betting that the Bank could raise interest rates later this year to combat rising inflation. However, a growing number of economists think the economy is entering recession, which will push inflation lower next year.

Howard Archer of Global Insight warned that "the economic environment facing the Bank of England currently seems to be becoming more difficult by the day as new data and survey evidence indicate that the downturn is deepening and widening but inflationary pressures are continuing to rise".

Greater discounting on the high street in June than a year ago meant prices for clothing and shoes fell by 7.5%. Alcohol prices also pushed overall inflation lower as the cost of spirits fell this year, having risen last year, while wine prices increased by less than a year ago.

"It is interesting that there is evidence of significant deflation in clothing and footwear which is probably a sign of weak consumer demand, which we would hope will help to keep inflation on track to meet the target in the medium term," said Philip Shaw, chief economist at Investec.

Soaring oil and petrol prices pushed inflation at the factory gate up to 10% last month, the highest since records began in 1986, while manufacturers' costs surged by a record 30%, ONS figures showed yesterday. Today's rise in CPI suggests that higher prices charged by manufacturers are starting to feed through to the high street.


Read related items on:
Inflation
Office of National Statisitics


Browse our business Knowledgebase or search by keyword


Headlines

15 March 2010
Mansfield BID gets a 'Yes' vote
14 March 2010
Royal Sussex Hospital redevelopment meeting 14 March 2010
Ingenious Britain 14 March 2010
Conservative's planning green paper published 14 March 2010
Bupa stays put in Brighton 12 March 2010
Panel will look into culture for children 12 March 2010
Hove charity gains social enterprise award 12 March 2010
More jobs but even more applicants 12 March 2010
Online fraud set to take over from credit card fraud 12 March 2010
Snow proves to be a major disruption for retail 11 March 2010
Road Works Update 10 March 2010
City Council offers free advertising to recycling savvy businesses 10 March 2010
Montefiore House planning application 9 March 2010
Voting Opens for Best Brighton Food Venues 9 March 2010
Another week, another statement of intent on RDAs 8 March 2010
The Sussex Internship Programme 5 March 2010
Brighton & Hove house price update Q4 2009 5 March 2010
Relentless Software boss joins Wired Sussex Board 5 March 2010
Brighton's retailers show a united front 5 March 2010
Historic bandstand shortlisted for lighting award 5 March 2010
Too Soon for Food Labelling Change 5 March 2010
Tourism Futures event 5 March 2010
Time is running out for rates appeals 5 March 2010
Tuck in to Brighton & Hove in 2010 3 March 2010
Hove charity wins national acclaim 3 March 2010
Sussex 'Make you mark with a tenner' students set to make over £4,000 in one month 3 March 2010
HBA gets royal insight 1 March 2010
High profile BIDs win second round 28 February 2010
Council consults on cultural strategy 28 February 2010
High Court decision casts doubt on Council's housing plans for Brighton Gasworks site. 27 February 2010
Think smallest first when policy-making, FPB tells Government 27 February 2010
New Grant Funding available for Sussex Businesses 27 February 2010
Latest thinking on saving utility costs 27 February 2010
2009 UK economic growth better than previously thought 27 February 2010
Brighton proves exemplary in managing the night time economy 27 February 2010
Brighton Marathon: meeting for retailers 23 February 2010
Latest weekly footfall figures for Brighton city centre 21 February 2010
Brighton driving school saved after going into administration 20 February 2010
Business Improvement Districts: a way out of recession 20 February 2010
Creative approach to business support